India, Keep Rising !!

08 May 2017

Narendra Modi Creator & Destroyer Of Indian Business

  •     Narendra Modi Creator & Destroyer Of Indian Business
  •     Narendra Modi Brings Beurocrasy & Red Tape
  •     Get Well Soon Narendra Modi

This blog is not a political statement.
A blog / post on appreciations has was written in past
Purposes of blog is not criticizing Modi, but wish to have ease of doing business in India. Modi has done various creditable jobs. But Modi went miserably wrong in brining reform in security market business in India. Rather regulation had brought red tape, bureaucracy & enabling business only to rich institutions.
Let’s see how changes made by Modi Sarkar has affected securities business
Posts winning of election Modi Sarkar come out with new regulation called Research Analyst regulation. (RA Regulation)
1)   Only big institutions should do business (No place for small advisors)
What’s new regulation says
“Independent research analysts, individuals employed as research analyst byresearch entity  or their associates shall not deal or trade in securities that the research analyst recommends or follows within thirty days before and five  days after the publication of a research report.”
What old Investment Advisor Regulation (IA regulation) says
“An investment adviser shall disclose to the client its holding or position, if any, in the financial products or securities which are subject matter of advice. “
a)   How it affects SME / entrepreneurs
New regulation had put restriction on investment by investment advisor in stock he recommends to clients
When an advisor gives recommendation to clients he should not invest in it. And if advisor invest in stock, he should not recommend it to clients
There will always be few gems (top quality recommendations). Either advisor should invest (and did not recommend to client) or recommend to client (then did not invest himself)
Simply what it means a person who cook delicious food, should not eat it ;)
You may also find smart advisor will shy to come in media/ CNBC to discuss their investment idea…thanks for Modi
b)   How it helps big institutions
Big institutions will have separate subsidiary for each business, so it does not affect them.
c)   How does it affect small investor community?
When there is a talk about large wealth creation, big names come in mind like Rakesh Jhunjunwala (In India) or Warren Buffet (In world). How frequently you heard a name of Institution as super wealth creator.
When institution sells ULIP in 2008, are they more concern about their profit or investor’s profit?
In 2015, market was down & institutions promoted SIP.
Now putting a restriction on advisor likely affect common investor as smart analyst will not help investor community
d)   Will small investor understand it
Investor will never understood though his interest get sacrificed
What has happen now, Modi created a big wave in economy as well as in stock market. All sins of institutions are washed and will get washed in good karma of Modi
2)   Complexity in doing business – red tape & bureaucracy
IA regulation put compulsion for doing risk profiling. Regulation clearly mentions that “income details” and “existing investments/ assets” should be taken from client
Investor can open demat & trading account without doing risk profiling
Investor can buy or sell stock as per his wish without doing risk profiling
Investor can take input new paper or CNBC or other media & buy or sell stock without doing risk profiling
But if Advisor wants to give recommendation, he should do risk profiling
My personal experience, I have seen investor says “I want to invest few thousand / lakhs in stock market, why should I (investor) share my income or asset details?”
It is more likely that small investors will do SIP & big investor will do PMS which will help institutions & will kill SME / entrepreneurs /small players
3)   Unfair advantage to big institutions
I have seen Portfolio / fund managers talking positively about their investment (stock) in public media like CNBC tv.
Portfolio manager did not get any consideration for talking positive, but it is likely that that stock may go up & Portfolio manager get indirectly benefited. And after few weeks /months, Portfolio manager can exit stock & at the time of existing stock he may not inform on CNBC.
IA is put under IA regulation & RA regulation restriction I am not sure but I guess IA regulation & RA regulation is not applicable portfolio managers & AMC
Law should be same for all intermediaries as well as print-tv-online media in securities business.
4)   No value for talent courtesy NiSM
Indian people are known for their talents. Lot’s of Indian people are working abroad at senior posts. Institutes like IIM, IIT, IISc, XLRI. NIFT  ICAI, ICWAI, CFA, ICSI, medical collage conducts various education programs
All above institute / university certificate is valid for lifetime Vs NiSM certificate is valid only for 3 years.
NiSM does not give value to Indian talent
Think opposite what will happen if in future IIM, IIT, IISc, XLRI. NIFT  ICAI, ICWAI, CFA, ICSI, medical collage etc institutes decides that their certificate will be valid for 3 years and every 3 years all students should reappear exams?
New technology / medicines / operation methods are developed; a MBBS does not give exam every 3 years
New budget comes every year. Now GST is coming. CA or law practicing people does not give exam every three years
Few years ago service tax (a new law comes in India), but that does not mean a CA or law practicing people gives exam once again
People do business in new way: Flipkart largest retailer in India does not own any inventory? Does that mean IIM – MBA qualified people should give exam every year?
NiSM is education institute or money printing press?
NiSM is a printing press of money: Rs 10,000/- per square feet per month?
NiSM charges Rs 1500 for two hours for a small 4sq foot by 4sq feet area
Roughly say Rs 50 per hour per sq feet or say Rs 500 per day (10 hours) or say Rs 10,000 per square feet per month (Rs 500*20 days)
Everyone for every 3 years, IA needs to pay money for two exam IA level -1 & IA level-2 exams.
Nism certificate should have lifetime validity
5)   I believe most of regulations as well as consultation papers will help big institutions to expand business while curbing small players. May be blog is becoming lengthily, let me add just one point from 
Oct-16 consultation paper on IA regulation.
What is proposed “No person shall organize or offer any scheme/competition/game/”
What I believe “Schemes/competitions/ games is best thing happened to India. Schemes/competitions/ games should be promoted /encouraged”
Why I believe so
i) Talented people can express their skills through this platform, so these platforms should be encouraged.
ii) Before 1990 very few singer were controlling music industry. We have lots of new singers come in limelight after they got chance to participate / win competition in TV program started in 1990+ like Sa Re Ga Ma (recent say Indian idol, etc)
iii) Indian people (investment advisor) are not so rich that they can afford advt in prominent newspaper or TV channel.
iv) It will also in line with “make in India” initiative of government. We should see some big Indian people name / institutions coming out in securities market,  in next 10 to 15 years with help of Schemes/competitions/ games
v) Competitions/ games promotes entrepreneurship spirit, so it should be respected
Regulator should ask Schemes/ competitions/ games should register with IA / RA regulation or other regulation
With this kind of restrictions, only institutions will do business in India. It will deny large population to take advantage of Indian talent
Role of SEBI
Over the last 25 years SEBI has indirectly institutionalized India’s securities market. But there is big question mark whether small investor has created wealth in Indian stock market? Indirectly SEBI has killed the spirit of India’s securities market entrepreneurs as well as affected returns of small investors.
BSE website shows around 3.41 crore investor base. Investor base / penetration can be compared with mobile penetration / bank account penetration in India for better comparison. Simple regulation will help to build large Indian investor base investing in stock market.
How an IPO has link to IA regulations?
In earlier 1990 we used to have lot’s of IPO. Even company like Infosys has got itself listed. Post listed to year 2000 (software rally) it appreciated by 245 time i.e. 245*100= 24500 % return
It has created enormous wealth
Now IPO is regulated but very few IPO. Sometimes IPO prices are also high
Mostly large company comes out with IPO. Now companies go to PE investment or other option if they want money
Think over if company at early stage (small / medium size) comes out with IPO, it can create wealth for small investor.
How many small investors invest in PE fund??
Too much regulation killed the spirit of IPO or way for small investor to access to create wealth.
Similarly SEBI is & will deny small advisory business / SME / entrepreneurs / players to do business
It is more likely that small investors will do SIP & big investor will do PMS which will help institutions & will kill SME / entrepreneurs /small players
Will it affect political career / future for Modi ?
Apparently Indian public can’t afford Rahul Gandhi or Kejriwal as prime minister. There is no apparent competitor for Modi. We will vote for Modi in 2019 election too
Long live Modi