I got solution on Vodafone Idea
getting insolvent
In
last two decade, may be a more than dozen of companies got merged /
out of business in Indian telecom sector. Even Tata’s (remember
Tata Indicom and Tata Docomo) had gracefully exited
In
past Vodafone wanted to come out with IPO for fund raising, but it
did not happen. Then it got merged with IDEA. When Two loss making
business come together, losses gets increase.
Jio
challenged all telecom operators on technology and pricing as it
build company prominently on equity and not resorted to debt / loan
Today
Vodafone Idea has
Debt
99,000 crore
Yearly
loss say 20,000 crore
License
fee and spectrum outstanding dues say 30,000 crore to 40,000 crore
Vodafone
Group chief executive Nick Read has made threatening / blackmailing
statements. Asking
for relief package or will exit India. I think this has become a norm, if business is not doing good, business owners goes to government for
package, earlier this year we saw industry asking for GST relief.
After
making this kind public statement, now who will give any more loan or goods / service on credit to Vodafone Idea?
Being
in stock market, I keep analysing companies
Few
months ago, I was thinking, Vodafone Idea will go Reliance
communication way in two years time frame. With recent supreme court AGR ruling, we are
seeing lots of noise
I
don’t know what is intention of Vodafone Idea whether they want to
continue business in India or discontinue business blaming government
Apparently
it seems “Angur khatte hai (अंगूर
खट्टे हैं)"
Becoming
insolvent will affect everyone
Total
say 150,000 crore at stake
Once
Vodafone Idea become insolvent, it will affect banks lending money,
revenues to government, employment to people, business cascading
effect as well as business friendly image of India
I
got a solution
Vodafone
Idea AGR liability is said to be in range of 30,000 crore to 40,000
crore (including spectrum usage charge dues, penalties, interest)
For
every crore amount forgone / relief by Department of
Telecommunications (DOT), Vodafone Idea should bring in 6 crore equity
Say
revenue forgone Department of Telecommunications (DOT) 20,000 crore
and Vodafone Idea brings in equity capital to the tune of 120,000
crore
This
should sort out all issues and we will have three main players in
Indian telecom industry
Fingers crossed :D
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